My house had a problem with pigeons nesting in the chimney. Sometimes we’d come home to find one sitting on the couch. On one such occasion I could hear the bird in the chimney. To keep it from coming into the living room (and having to deal with its mess), I decided the easiest thing […]
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Sobering thoughts about the price level
Money’s key function is means of exchange (beats bartering). Most money is created by the financial system. When it creates a loan, ‘new’ money is created. (A new entry is created in the asset ledger of the financial institution, which is the loan that you need to repay. A similar entry is created on the […]
“Predictions of a Bond Market Bubble are Wrong”
If you can access it, be sure to read Predictions of a Bond Market Bubble are Wrong, by David Rosenberg writing in today’s FT. It clarifies much confusion about the inflation/deflation outlook and is consistent with the periodic emphasis here on the irrational fears of inflation in the midst of a global surfeit of productive […]
Message to new visitors to this site, June-July 2010
I am by training and background a professional economist. In 2005 I began writing a dissertation on the international monetary dimensions of the Great Depression. As recently as 2009 I was downplaying the notion that my studies had much to say about the current business cycle. Today, however, we are seeing a policy approach that is […]
Is it 1931 or 1937?
more to come
Excerpt from the Italian economists’ joint letter
We believe … that the present direction of economic policy may soon prove to be unsustainable. If the conditions do not exist for the realisation of a development plan based on the objectives outlined, there will be an extemely high risk of debt-driven deflation and the consequent disintegration of the euro zone. This is because some countries […]
Skidelsky (Keynes’s biographer) on today’s re-hearsing of 1931
Abridged by Brad de Long. (Politicians) talk about the need to restore “confidence in the markets”. The argument here is that deficits do positive harm by destroying business confidence… fear of higher taxes, fear of default, fear of inflation…. The parallel with what happened in 1931 is irresistible. In February of that year, Philip Snowden, […]
Thursday fixtures (all times BST)
17 Jun, 12.30 Argentina v South Korea World Cup Group B 17 Jun, 15.00 Greece v Nigeria World Cup Group B 17 Jun, 19.30 France v Mexico World Cup Group A
Moody’s cuts Greece; “We’re not nearly as gloomy as others in the market”
Moody’s today cut Greece sovereign debt to ‘junk’ status, citing threats to growth. “If they still need to take additional measures to reduce the debt because of slow growth, that would be a difficult political decision … because obviously that entails still more sacrifice on the part of the population,” Moody’s told Reuters. And that’s the […]